SIPP PROGRESS

Current Value (As at 8th November 2021) = £307,654including cash

Value at 8th November 2021 = £307,654
Target for 8th November 2022 = £359,355
Target for 31st December 2021 = £300,000
Value of SIPP at commencement of this blog on 1st August 2012 = £51,684.02.

Capital Growth is equivalent to 12.905%pa since Aug 2012 (not including monthly contributions and occasional deposits).


Monday 6 August 2018

Some notes on my Brexit investment strategy

It always pays to have an in-depth look at individual holdings in your account to verify the reasons why you purchased in the first-placed, and whether there is still some purpose in maintaining the holding, or is it time to sell and move on - all the time trying to shape a "Brexit-Proof" portfolio.

As of this month, I've been holding Legal & General shares (LGEN) over 2 years with my initial stake being 1570 shares bought on 11th July 2016 at a price of 181.40p - with dealing costs the average cost per share was 183.07p per share. Back then, the SP was suffering from the post-Referendum reaction which saw some major movements in some share prices. I bought then as I thought the sell-off was overdone - and I was right. Since February 2017, the SP has been moving in a band between 250 - 270 and while I first thought it may strike-out and break the 300 level, it hasn't. Unfortunately, since February 2017, I've made a number of purchases in LGEN thinking I was doing the right thing but really I was just parking the money in the equivalent of a "high interest" account. The company goes "ex-div" on 17th August and that will probably lead to the SP dropping about 4p to under 260p.  As such, I'm looking to trim my holding in the company from 6500 shares to 3300 shares; which will be about 5% of the SIPP value.  The post-Referendum loss has been recovered and what I have to decide now is what action do I take regarding Brexit.  The reason for that drop was most commentators considered the future of LGEN outside the EU was not good. Personally I think the company has a very strong future on the domestic market and, while European growth may be a struggle, that domestic market should hold-up and maintain company profits. However, LGEN has only rarely seen it's SP top 275 and so I will be looking to sell should the SP top 270, which I am hoping will happen in the next 3 months.  

Monies released will be invested (in part) in increasing the holding in Homeserve (HSV). The company currently has a market value of £3.32bn and value needs to exceed £4.50bn to enter the FTSE100, but I can see that happening before the end of 2019, and it may well happen in the next 12 months. The stimulus for the SP increase will surely come from its US subsidiary's and this is a company that could well repeat the feat's of Ashtead Group in the USA and see a significant increase in turnover, profits and the SP.  Having a large foothold in the US, this company will be outside any Brexit influence. 

My current holding of 1532 shares in Sage was purchased at a cost of £10,625.36; an average of 693.56p per share. Unfortunately, since those purchases were made in Feb/March of this year. the SP has been trading at mainly under 640p.  What has been pushing the SP down are the domestic markets: sales in overseas markets has been growing significantly, and it is in this area that future growth will come.  If, post-Brexit, the £ drops in value to under US$1.20 per £1 those overseas markets will become even more important for the UK balance sheet and this could lead to a major re-value of the company and see it return to levels over 700p for the Share Price.  Even so, I shall be looking to reduce my holding by 25% when the SP climbs above 690p.

Currently, my largest invividual holding is in Blackrock Smaller Companies Trust (BRSC), and this investment trust has shown remarkable performance over the past couple of years.  My first purchase of BRSC was in October 2012 (nearly 6 years ago) and the SP then was 529p; but I sold off that initial investment the following June at 636p.  In March 2015 I returned to BRSC and started building-up my holding, acquiring  1391 shares at an average of £12,514.49 or 899.70p per share.  Rebalancing my SIPP in January 2017, I sold off 221 shared at an SP of 1000.80p and in hindsight that was a mistake - the SP is at 1555 and is over 10% of the value of my SIPP.   What to do with holdings like this before Brexit is a worry.

I've been a long-term holder of GVC buying 500 shares in January 2015 at an average of 446p. Today I hold 1390 shares purchased at an average of 577p and even with the SP at 1140p the growth does not seem to have ended yet.  The joint-venture with MGM International opens-up the US Sports Betting market to GVC and we could see the company enjoy a significant increase in revenue as a result, along with substantial profits.  Another company that should be able to ride the storm of Brexit.

I've been looking at the oil companies Shell and BP and they are looking healthier again, and there is a prospect of significant earnings growth.  Of the pair, I prefer BP mainly as I reckon the more time goes on from the Deepwater Horizon oil-spill in 2010, the more the memory fades and the prospect of earnings growing faster than Shell.  I'm looking for a buying opportunity, although possibly the best time to buy was in May/June 2016 with the SP around 360p. Today the SP is at 575-580 and I want to buy in as soon as I have funds available, as I can see the SP growing 15% in the next 12 months.


To finance the purchase of BP, I'm looking to sell off my entire holding in Senior (SNR).  I bought 1560 shares in SNR in March/april 2017 at an average SP of 207p and in the intervening period the company has managed to transform its share price hitting over 320 last month. that was a bit of a spike from the 295-305 range that the SP has been in recently, and I can't see that there is much juice left in this market.

Wednesday 1 August 2018

31st July SIPP Review

Another interesting month for the SIPP.
Performance continues to be solid and the value is now over £174,000.  With just 4 more contributions (on 7th of August, September, October and November) before the annual performance “cut-off” on my birthday on 8thNovember, the SIPP only has to find another 3% of growth to beat the annual target of 15% and hit £186,000.
The big gainers in the month were GVC - who secured a major deal with America-based MGM Resorts, and which may (at some time in the near future) be taken over by that company. Also, Homeserve (HSV) which continues to secure a strong hold on domestic repair markets in the USA. Both companies increased their Share Price (SP) by over 11% in the month.

There have been several changes to the constituents of the SIPP with sales of Croda (CRDA), SSP Group (SSP) and XL Media (XLM). 
I felt both Croda and SSP Group didn’t fit the profile of my SIPP as they are both “slow & steady” growers.  I run an ISA alongside the SIPP (to provide the funds to repay the mortgage) and I fill that with companies holding that "strong & steady" profile and I retain Croda in my ISA.  
XL Media is a different kettle of fish: I think this company is inherently a good one although the recent scrutiny of internet manipulation of markets and “fake-news” may put some of its business strategy under the microscope. That could mean a change in future strategy is required which I think has lead to the recent significant downturn in the SP, and it’s not helped by the company being based in Israel. The location doesn’t bother me, if it did I would not have bought shares in it in the first place, but on reflection I don’t think it is helping the SP recover lost ground.

Unfortunately, the gains on Croda and SSP Group were obliterated (and more) by the loss sustained on XL Media; but the sales released £16,000 for reinvestment elsewhere.      
That when into Genus (GNS), FDM Group (FDM); Legal & General (LGEN) and Segro (SGRO).
Genus is an animal genetics company specialising in pigs and cattle, and my shareholding is already up 5% in a month.
I’ve increased my holding in FDM Group as I think the company SP is due a significant re-rating as after a period of sustained growth the SP has remained at about the 1000 level for about 10 months. With revenue growing, profits growing, and a healthy dividend yield of 2.70% for an IT company, there is plenty of scope there – I will just have to wait for the market to come to the same conclusion.

Brexit is now starting to be more a reality and so I’m strengthening my defensive aspects of the SIPP.  The probability of a "hard" Brexit is - in my opinion - about 70%, and so we have to start making provision.  Regards defensive shares, I think Legal & General fits that bill as well as Segro. Both have strong dividend yields, both have strong profit growth, and both should be able to continue to proper – in the short term at least – once the UK leaves the EU next March.   

Current holdings in the SIPP
British Aerospace (BA.) holding now = 731 (n/c); Value = £4,790
Blackrock Smaller Co IT (BRSC) div-reinvest of 12; holding now = 1200; Value = £18,120
Croda (CRDA) holding now = nil : SOLD
FDM Group (FDM) Bought 355 shares; holding now = 855; Value = £8,122 
GB Group (GBG) holding now = 1505 (n/c); Value = £8,127 
Genus (GNS) Bought 160 shares; holding now = 160; Value = £4,592
GVC Holdings (GVC) holding now = 1390 (n/c); Value = £16,253 - up 11% in month
HG Capital Trust IT (HGT) holding now = 840 (n/c); Value = £15,960
Homeserve (HSV) holding now = 1040 (n/n); Value = £10,524 - up 12% in month
JPM Emerging Markets IT (JMG) holding now = 918 (n/c); Value = £8,078
Keywords Studios (KWS) holding now = 455 (n/c); Value = £8,272
Legal & General (LGEN) Bought 2920 shares, holding now = 6500; Value = £17,088
Safecharge Group (SCH) holding now = 2464; Value = £8,623
Sage (SGE) div-reinvest of 12; holding now = 1532; Value = £9,510
Schroders Asia/Pac (SDP) holding now = 1817 (n/c); Value = £8,158
Segro PLC (SGRO) Bought 452 shares; holding now = 2600; Value = £17,284
Senior PLC (SNR) holding now = 2625 (n/c); Value = £8,363
SSP Group (SSPG) holding now = nil : SOLD
XL Media (XLM) holding now = nil : SOLD
Cash: holding now = £2,939
Portfolio Value = £174,203 up £2,109 or 1.22%